Monday, April 03, 2006

MSN Strategy lab

Interesting take on ICICI


As for Suntech Power Holdings (STP, news, msgs), which I hold, and ICICI Bank (IBN, news, msgs) which I dropped, the outlook is mixed. Suntech is involved in the planned floatation later this year of a second Chinese solar company, this one a power generator. The full details of how the future initial public offering on the New York Stock Exchange will be structured, and what the price will be, are unknown. But the assumption that Suntech will be hurt if one of its customers goes public is just silly.

ICICI will be affected by the Reserve Bank of India (the central bank) examination, slated by the end of July, to decide whether to lift all exchange controls on rupee capital exports. Currently, India allows some modest capital exports to invest outside the country. But, to date, most of the liberalization has involved current-account capital exports -- sending or spending money outside India for trade-related transactions.

If the capital-account liberalization goes forward (it did not the last time the New Delhi central bank toyed with the idea), the effect may be to enhance the fees going to Indian banks like ICICI. But ICICI may also face increased foreign competition as the ceiling on foreign ownership of Indian banks will probably also be lifted from the present 5%. India intends to turn Bombay (Mumbai) into a regional financial center; to do this, the silly rubber-stamp raj has to be got rid of.

The country has foreign-exchange reserves equal to 13 months' worth of imports. Its booming stock markets can grow even higher if foreign money can come in without the cockroach trap (that it cannot go out again).

Emerging-market funds, non-resident Indians, institutional investors and Indian funds -- are all waiting for the Reserve Bank of India to move. Then, there will be more inflows, a stronger currency and a better stock market. But right now, the Sensex (The Bombay Stock Exchange's 30-stock benchmark sensitive index) is the best in the world.

Monday, March 27, 2006

Old wine, Old bottle : peaked and tasting better

Saturday, March 25, 2006

Fool.com: Nygren's Master List July 29, 2004

Fool.com: Nygren's Master List : Interesting read. I really enjoyed this interview. The key thing I took away from this is that we should study success to be successful. We should look at our successful trades and see how we pulled it off, and then analyze why we failed in the one's we thought we would succeed.

Enjoy.

Thursday, March 23, 2006

Folly Volley : Chipotle Mexican Grill

Monday, March 20, 2006

More ways to use the latest ETFs

More ways to use the latest ETFs

Can't get enough of these good tips! Nice read. VSP, if you were into CMG - you will love THI

Sensex 18K by 2010! Here's why

Sensex 18K by 2010! Here's why

Interesting article in REDF. Not that I am into TA, but thought this one was good.

Saturday, March 11, 2006

Like Buffett, only better

Markman rocks in his analysis of BRK 's annual letter and has an opposite view on Buffet. He has a couple of picks himself (LUK, BAM) which beat the current BRK over 2,5, and 10 year periods. Check them out.

Like Buffett, only better

Thursday, March 09, 2006

Time For Google To Grow Up - Forbes.com

Time For Google To Grow Up - Forbes.com

Not being overly bearish currently as that seems to be the prevailing sentiment. (dont get me wrong half the people are more mad than bearish at google). In this world of instant gratification, we need a sane voice like this.

I like his site the internetoutsider.com also.

I would definitely load up on out of the money puts. This one has a long way to go before it begins a reversal. Always be hedged.